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Daniel Lucía Marcos's avatar

Spot on, Harry. Uber’s $100M move into charging hubs is a massive signal that the 'asset-light' dream has limits when it hits the physical world. In the end, autonomy is a real estate game. Whether it’s charging, cleaning, or staging, robotaxis need a 'home' in dense urban centers. This investment de-risks their strategy: even if the AV tech takes longer than expected, they’ve secured the prime infrastructure that every electric fleet will fight for. Infrastructure is the ultimate moat.

Harry Campbell's avatar

Question via e-mail: Why so much emphasis on charging and none of these fleet vehicles seem to be going the "interchangeable battery" route?

Charging gets so much emphasis because it builds on existing infrastructure and improving technology curves. Fast charging speeds are increasing, battery density is improving, and costs are coming down. That creates strong tailwinds.

Battery swapping can make sense in emerging markets where charging infrastructure is limited or grid reliability is an issue. It could even serve as a transitional model in certain U.S. fleet use cases where uptime is critical. But long term, I’m skeptical. You’re effectively betting on a parallel infrastructure model at the same time charging technology keeps getting faster, cheaper, and more convenient.

As an investor, I prefer backing technologies aligned with clear structural tailwinds. Swapping feels like it faces structural headwinds as charging efficiency and battery performance continue to improve.

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